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Veepstakes
I think this Wall Street Journal article hit the nail on the head with their short-list of VPs for both McCain and Obama.
For Obama: Evan Bayh, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, Tim Kaine, Jack Reed, Kathleen Sebelius.
For McCain: Charlie Crist, Carly Fiorina, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Rob Portman, Mitt Romney, John Thune.
I don't think Obama will choose Chris Dodd, Tim Kaine, or Kathleen Sebelius. Dodd because of his connections to the insurance and banking industries. Kaine because he just doesn't seem to offer that much to the ticket besides being from VA and another "outsider." He lacks foreign policy experience, national name recognition, etc. If Obama is inexperienced (of course he isn't, but...), Kaine is a baby. Sebelius because some former Clintonites might be offended that he would pick a woman who wasn't Hillary, and also for the same reasons Kaine is unlikely (no foreign policy experience). I think Bayh, Biden, Clinton, and Reed would all be excellent picks for different reasons, but Reed is still by far my favorite.
As for McCain, I think Crist, Fiorina, and Palin are unlikely. I don't have as many reasons for that. Just more of a hunch. My picks remain Portman, Romney, or Thune. Pawlenty has proven himself, at least in my opinion, to be really boring on the talk show circuit. Portman might also be boring, but he brings major economic street cred. Of course Romney Mittens Guy Smiley would be a dream come true. Thune would be a good pick, although being pretty far right wing, would have some major policy disagreements with McCain.
Guy Smiley on the stump.
How can people like this man? Seriously.
Filed under: Barac • Carly Fiorina • Charlie Crist • Chris Dodd • Evan Bayh • Hillary Clinton • Jack Reed • Joe Biden • John McCain • john thune • Kathleen Sebelius • Mitt Romney • mittens • rob portman • Sarah Palin • Tim Kaine • Tim Pawlenty • veep selection • vice presidential picks
I feel the same way - he
I feel the same way - he seemed like a sure thing for the shortlist until Ridinginafighterplaneandgettingshotdowngate, after which the Obama campaign basically denounced him for saying something that was 100% factually accurate. That reaction suggested to me that he was basically out of the running, but then again, the scandal cycle is so short that it may well be close to forgotten by the time Obama announces his pick. Of course, if Clark happens to be picked, McCain's folks would remember pretty quickly - but I imagine that Fighterplanegate II would get eclipsed within 24 hours by news that John McCain once farted on the Straight Talk Express, making him just like the rest of us. God bless the Internet.
To un-digress, Sam, I'd be curious to know what you've heard about Clark - I really haven't heard much of anything, but I'm pretty good at missing big news.
I think your hunch and
I think your hunch and picks are wrong insofar as McCain's Veep picks. Here's why:
Q&A
1. Which McCain Veep pick is SIMULTANEOUSLY the safest AND boldest?
ANSWER: Sarah Palin
2. How can McCain SIMULTANEOUSLY attract both Hillary AND Bob Barr voters?
ANSWER: Sarah Palin
* * *
And this just yesterday in from the Conservative Voice:
“Desperately seeking Sarah
July 26, 2008 10:00 AM EST
By Stephan Andrew Brodhead
Desperately seeking Sarah
Americans need a little Palin Power
Sarah Palin the current Governor of Alaska is John McCain’s ultimate choice for VP. I do believe a woman is next in line for the presidency. All Conservatives like her. She is popular in Alaska. Hillary supporters would relish her. She would solidify a 12 or possibly 16 year Republican executive.
John McCain’s boring campaign is wearing thin. I need a little Palin Power to get me interested again. They would say ‘but she is only a half term Governor!’ And your point is?
That’s all I have to say about that!”
Sarah Palin apparently has
Sarah Palin apparently has had some troubles lately in Alaska.
Former Clinton supporter
Former Clinton supporter here: Sarah Palin is strongly pro-life and a "lifelong member of the NRA." I'm going to say that I'm pretty NOT excited about a former beauty queen dragging our government even further into archaic social conservatism and blatant hypocrisy.
Ever since I saw Reed in the
Ever since I saw Reed in the very beginning of June, I thought he'd be a great pick. I was heartbroken to see him reject wanting the VP slot in pretty strong terms (beyond the usual playful denials). However, there's always the chance that Barack can convince him to change his mind, and the recent trip abroad suggests that the two have great chemistry.
If not Reed, then right now I'm expecting Bayh. While I don't like the idea of picking VPs for states, I think Bayh would be a solid fit while making Indiana a very plausible pickup.
On the Republican side, I'm thinking either Mittens or Portman. Mittens would certainly be a lot of fun.
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Why isn't Wes Clark on the
Why isn't Wes Clark on the Obama list? I've heard an awful lot of talk about him lately.